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Coty (COTY) Reliance on International Sales: What Investors Need to Know

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Have you evaluated the performance of Coty's (COTY - Free Report) international operations for the quarter ending June 2024? Given the extensive global presence of this beauty products company, analyzing the patterns in international revenues is crucial for understanding its financial strength and potential for growth.

In today's increasingly interconnected global economy, a company's ability to tap into international markets can be a pivotal factor in shaping its overall financial health and growth trajectory. For investors, understanding a company's reliance on overseas markets has become increasingly crucial, as it offers insights into the company's sustainability of earnings, ability to tap into diverse economic cycles and overall growth potential.

Presence in international markets can act as a hedge against domestic economic downturns and provide access to faster-growing economies. However, this diversification also brings complexities due to currency fluctuations, geopolitical risks and differing market dynamics.

While delving into COTY's performance for the past quarter, we observed some fascinating trends in the revenue from its foreign segments that are commonly modeled and observed by analysts on Wall Street.

The company's total revenue for the quarter stood at $1.36 billion, increasing 0.9% year over year. Now, let's delve into COTY's international revenue breakdown to gain insights into the significance of its operations beyond home turf.

A Dive into COTY's International Revenue Trends

EMEA generated $598.1 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 43.9% of the total. This represented a surprise of +0.05% compared to the $597.78 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, EMEA accounted for $628 million (45.3%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $594.2 million (44%) to the total revenue.

Of the total revenue, $182.3 million came from Asia Pacific during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 13.4%. This represented a surprise of -5.41% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $192.73 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $168.6 million, or 12.2%, and $189.5 million, or 14%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Revenue Forecasts for the International Markets

Wall Street analysts expect Coty to report $1.7 billion in total revenue for the current fiscal quarter, indicating an increase of 3.6% from the year-ago quarter. EMEA and Asia Pacific are expected to contribute 44.4% ($754.54 million) and 12.8% ($218.24 million) to the total revenue, respectively.

Analysts expect the company to report a total annual revenue of $6.45 billion for the full year, marking an increase of 5.4% compared to last year. The expected revenue contributions from EMEA and Asia Pacific are projected to be 44.9% ($2.9 billion) and 13.3% ($860.22 million) of the total revenue, in that order.

Closing Remarks

Coty's reliance on international markets for revenues offers both opportunities and risks. Hence, keeping an eye on its international revenue trends could significantly help forecast the company's prospects.

In a world where international interdependencies and geopolitical conflicts are ever-increasing, Wall Street analysts closely monitor these trends for companies having international presence to adjust their earnings forecasts. Of course, there are several other factors, including a company's standing within its home borders, that influence analysts' earnings forecasts.

Here at Zacks, we put a great deal of emphasis on a company's changing earnings outlook, as empirical research has shown that's a powerful force driving a stock's near-term price performance. Quite naturally, the correlation is positive here -- an upward revision in earnings estimates drives the stock price higher.

Boasting a remarkable track record that's been externally verified, the Zacks Rank, our unique stock rating system, leverages changes in earnings projections to function as a reliable gauge for predicting short-term stock price movements.

Coty currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

A Review of Coty's Recent Stock Market Performance

Over the preceding four weeks, the stock's value has appreciated by 0.5%, against an upturn of 1.5% in the Zacks S&P 500 composite. In parallel, the Zacks Consumer Staples sector, which counts Coty among its entities, has appreciated by 5.2%. Over the past three months, the company's shares have seen a decline of 3.9% versus the S&P 500's 7.2% increase. The sector overall has witnessed an increase of 4.2% over the same period.

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